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Reminds me of a game my statistics prof. brought up back at CMU:

Suppose someone says to you that you can write down numbers off of the top

of your head on a bunch of index cards - 100 cards, 1000 cards, 1,000,000

cards there is no limit - you can write down different numbers on as many

cards as pleases you. Once the numbers have been written down the person

will shuffle the cards and begin to turn them over, one by one. If the

person can stop just when they get to the highest number written down and

say, "this is the highest number!!!" they win. If they pass the highest

number by, they lose. What are the odds that they win?.... Well, with a

perfect strategy the exact odds depend upon the number of cards, but they

are never worse than 1 in 4. Most of the students in the class would have

guessed 1 in 100 or 1 in 1000, etc. but in reality the odds are much better

with the right strategy....

tb

At 02:13 PM 4/11/01, Rodent of Unusual Size wrote:

*>My brain Hertz..
*

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