Re: Don't Confuse Arrogance with Chronic Correctness. -- sdw

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From: Stephen D. Williams (
Date: Thu Jan 04 2001 - 00:54:53 PST

Lorin Rivers wrote:
> I wish I could find a good link to an article I read last summer that
> took a position that confidence and accuracy were inversely
> proportional...

Pessimistic people are more accurate but optimistic people are more successful
by most measures. There is a PRI show with a number of psychologists that
make this point.

Confidence that comes from relevant experience is unlikely to have a negative
effect on accuracy, depending on how you define accuracy. If more experience
with a problem doesn't improve your ability to deal with it in the future, the
problem must be pretty random.

> --
> Lorin Rivers 512.263.1233 x712 v
> Product Manager 512.263.1441 f
> REAL Software, Inc.
> PMB 220
> 3300 Bee Caves Road, Suite 650
> Austin, Texas 78746
> REALbasic: the visual, object-oriented BASIC
> development environment for the Macintosh


Stephen D. Williams         Insta, Inc./Jabber.Com, Inc./CCI
43392 Wayside Cir,Ashburn,VA 20147-4622 703-724-0118W 703-995-0407Fax  Dec2000

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