Greg
I hate the term e-pinions.
http://www.nytimes.com/library/magazine/home/19990711mag-tech-startup.html
                                                                   
                                                                   
                                                                   
          Instant Company 
          One new Internet idea, two enthusiastic venture capitalists,
          six founders leaving behind millions at the jobs they quit, $8
          million raised before a line of code was written, 12 -- count
          'em -- 12 weeks. By PO BRONSON 
                 hat were you doing 12 weeks ago? 
          Twelve weeks ago was Nirav Tolia's last day on a pretty enviable job.
          He is 27, and in addition to managing the marketing of Yahoo!'s
          E-commerce properties, he had represented the company on television
          more than 100 times. Almost nobody leaves Yahoo!, but Nirav Tolia had
          just heard a really interesting start-up idea from a friend, Naval Ravikant,
          who had recently left @Home. It took Tolia about one day to decide,
          and the following morning he resigned. 
          Soon after Tolia's last day at Yahoo! he and Ravikant were joined by
          one of the highest ranking engineers at Netscape, Ramanathan Guha,
          who was cooking up an idea very similar to Ravikant's on the back
          burner of his big brain. By the end of the week, they were five strong.
          Eleven weeks ago, despite not having a single line of code written or
          even a paper sketch of the Web site they wanted to build, they got $8
          million in seed financing from venture capitalists -- half from Benchmark
          Capital, which had financed Ebay, and half from August Capital, where
          Naval Ravikant was camping out as entrepreneur in residence. This gave
          the start-up what is believed to be one of the highest seed-round
          valuations ever. 
                                 Nine weeks ago, they brought on Lou
                                 Montulli and Aleksander Totic, two of the
                                 original six founding engineers of Netscape.
                                 Eight weeks ago, they moved into a
                                 second-floor gabled loft in Mountain View,
                                 Calif., and began grinding out 15-hour
          days, seven days a week -- but of course these guys had done that
          before. 
          In a spring when it had started to seem to some Silicon Valley veterans
          that all the big original ideas were gone, theirs was a lightning rod for
          talent. The new director of business development, Dion Lim, began to cut
          deals with other Web sites to import their data feeds. Seven weeks ago,
          they started hiring category managers. Six weeks ago, it became clear to
          Guha that enough of the original programming was already done, and he
          could switch hats from coder to manager. Five weeks ago, their venture
          capitalist from Benchmark, Bill Gurley, came by the office for his first
          look-see. He was blown away: "This is, unequivocally, the fastest I have
          ever seen a start-up move." 
          Four weeks ago, they began to cut distribution
          deals; two weeks ago, they settled on their
          marketing plan, and now, having reached a
          critical mass of 31 people, they are set to launch
          their Web site. 
          In 12 weeks, the amount of time it might take an
          average person to decide what kind of hedge to
          plant in the backyard, they built a company from
          scratch. An instant company, or what is being called in Silicon Valley a
          "second-generation Web company." 
          Not so long ago, it seemed incredible that a Web company could be
          born in a mere two years. But rather than going back to normal, the pace
          of creation in Silicon Valley now seems to be speeding up even more.
          Any Web company that starts out today and takes two years to get up
          and running is likely to be left in the dust. 
          In first-generation Internet companies, the founder and a few college
          buddies moved into a garage that they decorated with Nerf guns and
          green army men. In second-generation Internet companies, the staff
          coalesces not from friendships but from respect for mutually
          complementary skill sets. They skip the garage phase, engage two
          real-estate brokers and make simultaneous bids on three office spaces,
          hoping one comes through. They move in over the weekend and by
          Monday have it decorated with Nerf guns and green army men. 
          In first-generation Internet companies, the staff resigned from monolithic
          software corporations or took leave of business school or jumped ship
          on brand-manager positions at Procter & Gamble. Nobody had Internet
          experience; they learned by making mistakes, of which there were many.
          The purpose of the Internet was unclear. Now, companies are being
          formed by staff members who have years of know-how. And they see
          the Internet, above all, as a place to buy things. Some $301 billion was
          generated by the Internet economy in 1998, with an annual growth rate
          over the past four years of 174 percent. 
          Because of the way high-tech employees are compensated, there are
          likely to be a great number of second-generation start-ups in the next
          year. The notorious stock options that add up to so much paper wealth
          usually take four years to fully vest. For the early movers on the Internet,
          the four years are coming up. And the golden handcuffs are coming off. 
               his particular second-generation Internet company has managed to
               recruit top people who were still handcuffed -- what people in the
          Valley call "the unhirables." Naval Ravikant walked away from what at
          the time was $4 million worth of unvested @Home stock options.
          Ramanathan Guha walked away from probably more than $4 million (a
          figure he is contractually forbidden to confirm) at America Online, which
          had acquired Netscape. Sabrina Berry's previous employer,
          CommTouch Software, was planning to go public. Berry walked away
          from all of her shares in that company. For Lou Montulli to join, he
          resigned from a hot, well-financed start-up called Geocast Network
          Systems. At the time Nirav Tolia left Yahoo!, the unvested options he left
          on the table were worth $10 million. 
          But, he insisted, it didn't matter to him if it was $20 or $20 million -- he
          has a dream to pursue. 
          "People are going to think I'm nuts,"
          said Tolia, rolling his eyes. 
          "Can we not talk about this
          anymore?" said Guha. "It's painful to
          dwell on." 
          Six weeks ago, the engineering team
          walked to In-N-Out Burger for lunch.
          They crossed an overpass above
          Highway 101 and paused at the rail.
          "This team has been responsible for
          many of the key features of Netscape
          Navigator," Guha said. "These guys
          can point to any of these cars passing
          underneath and say: 'That driver has almost certainly used my code. And
          that driver. And that one.' We want to build something that has that kind
          of influence. We want to build a site that everyone will use." 
          So what's the idea that is inspiring so many to jump? Until this week,
          they've kept everything secret, operating under the code name "Round
          One." In fact, not even people who come in to interview for a position
          learn the idea their first day. Several hours of vague conversation seem to
          be leading up to the grand presentation, but alas, the applicant is sent
          home with a preliminary offer, setting out salary and options and title --
          and no clear sense of what the company will do. If the candidate is sold
          on the team, then she or he comes back for a second round. Only at the
          end of that next day does she sit down in front of a whiteboard with
          Ravikant and Tolia and hear something like this: 
          As the Web becomes an infinite supply of goods and services, goes the
          pitch, people crave guidance on what and where to buy. So far, the great
          number of on-line shopping guides present quantitative, machine-sorted
          and machine-generated data: comparisons of product prices and
          specifications. But what consumers need (Ravikant and Tolia contend) is
          a recommendation that gets beyond that: the advice of someone they
          trust, someone just like them. 
          Their solution is a Web site, Epinions.com, which they envision as a sort
          of Zagat-for-everything, a site consisting entirely of consumer opinions or
          reviews of anything you can buy. Epinions.com itself will sell nothing at all
          -- it has no warehouse, no trucks on the back end. The money would
          come from deals Epinions.com cuts with companies that do sell things:
          every time an "E-pinion" prompts a reader to click "Buy," the company
          will earn a tiny commission on the resulting sale. 
          At the start, the E-pinions on Epinions.com will be culled from existing
          sources, guiding users through aggregations of expertise from the four
          corners of the Web. But the key to the whole idea is to make
          Epinions.com participatory, taking advantage of what I call the Tom
          Sawyer model. Write and post a short review of any product on
          Epinions.com, and you can earn a few pennies every time the review is
          read by another user. By letting readers rate the usefulness of the
          E-pinions, the most trusted ones will float to the top of every category.
          As Ebay is a marketplace for products, Epinions.com seeks to be a
          marketplace for ideas. If it catches on, like Ebay, then everything
          snowballs, and these hobbyist-reviewers function as sliver-time virtual
          employees who do all the work for you. "Everybody is an expert at
          something," they kept repeating around the Epinions.com office; they
          hope their site will be the place where everyone shares their expertise. 
          Similar logic has been welling up in the collective unconscious of Silicon
          Valley, and most E-commerce sites are already adding some form of
          E-pinion to their Web pages. Productopia, Deja.com, Cnet,
          Amazon.com -- everyone's hiring editors and bringing back the
          old-fashioned, well-trusted written word. Of course, sites that both sell
          goods and review them are subject to criticisms of bias.
          Epinions.com.com would be the first company to start up doing
          E-pinions and only E-pinions, hoping to be as Jell-o is to flavored gelatin.
          And that's it. Then again, what was Yahoo! at the start but just a Yellow
          Pages to the Web? The point is that job recruits with demonstrable talent
          are buying in to give it a go. And they know that in the short and
          unpredictable history of Internet businesses, success has often come
          down to getting the details right, fast. 
          "We don't need any more strategists," says Mike Speiser, a McKinsey
          consulting alumnus who learned to curtail his own inclination to heady
          analysis. This was 10 weeks ago. 
          "We need closers," agrees Nirav Tolia. "We need bulldogs." 
          "We need engineers who are execution machines," says Guha. "This is
          not a strategy play. This is an execution play." 
               irst-generation start-ups raise small seed rounds to develop a
               "proof-of-concept version," at which point the start-up has to go
          back to dog-and-pony shows, negotiating for more money. Again the
          second generation is different, faster. Prototypes, demos, alphas -- the
          language of the hustle -- those words aren't even in the Epinions.com
          vocabulary. Every minute spent dancing for investors is a minute stolen
          from the finished product. Ravikant and Tolia's business plan (which
          consisted of 16 sparse slides) had no financial projections and no budget.
          They negotiated for $8 million, enough that they wouldn't have to go
          back for more until well after launch. They had no idea what it would
          cost to pull together the E-pinions they would need to stock the site, but
          they budgeted $5 million, just to be safe. 
                              The group's biggest fear was the wrath of
                              prominent venture capitalists who did not get
                              an opportunity for a cut of the deal. A slightly
                              rattled Tolia played me several phone
                              messages left on his answering machine by
                              furious V.C.'s. One of the advantages of
                              combining August Capital and Benchmark is
                              that they occupy the same two-story building.
                              When the terms of the valuation were set with
                              August, Ravikant and Tolia walked upstairs to
                              Bill Gurley's office at Benchmark. Gurley had
                              joined Benchmark only a month before, and
                              Epinions.com would be one of his first big
                              plays for his new employer. 
          "I need to know if you're in," Tolia said. 
          Gurley was calm. He recounted some of the internal discussion among
          the Benchmark partners. One partner, Gurley offered, had scored the
          idea a 6.5 and the team a 9.5 on a scale of 1 to 10. But he wouldn't tell
          them details of how the final vote was scored. 
          "So where does that leave us?" Tolia asked. 
          "Don't worry, it's done," said Gurley. 
          "Should I contact your lawyer or something? Draw up term sheets?" 
          "We don't do term sheets here," Gurley responded, offering his palm.
          "We do handshakes." 
          In those first crucial weeks, the Benchmark investment was like having a
          Hertz Club Gold pass. Every service provider is overbooked in Silicon
          Valley -- realtors, phone-system installers, furniture suppliers,
          headhunters. Dropping the Benchmark name was the way to impress
          vendors without sharing the idea. Everyone wants to do business with
          what may become the next Ebay, dreaming they'll be rewarded with
          friends-and-family shares when the time comes. 
          Of course, they can't do everything. There was that first weekend in their
          new digs, when the parts for their desks arrived from Home Depot -- 25
          solid wood doors, 100 4-by-4 legs and 400 metal braces. Despite this
          formidable team of engineering talent, in eight hours of off-and-on
          tinkering they couldn't correctly assemble any desks. Finally they called a
          carpenter who had done this before, and he started building two desks
          an hour. 
          Fortunately, what they don't know about desks, they do know about
          code. Hiring staff with seasoned Internet experience has allowed
          Epinions.com to delegate like crazy. "We need to be told what to do but
          not how to do it," said Luke Knowland, who had done it before at Wired
          Digital. 
          "It would take four very bright first-generation engineers a full year to
          program this site," Guha estimated. "But because we've done it before,
          we can write most of the code in six weeks." 
          Everything is faster. Zero drag is optimal. For a while, new applicants
          would jokingly be asked about their "drag coefficient." Since the office is
          a full hour's commute from San Francisco, an apartment in the city was a
          full unit of drag. A spouse? Drag coefficient of one. Kids? A half point
          per. Then they recognized that such talk, even in jest, could be taken as
          discriminatory in a hiring situation. 
          On the business-development side, "I no longer have to waste months
          evangelizing," says Dion Lim, who has been cutting deals to aggregate
          opinion material from existing Web sites. A couple of years ago, the
          process would have been slow and painful. "Now, I just call, and they
          have a syndication rate scale and a preferred data-feed format," he says. 
          Meanwhile, Epinions.com has kept up constant reconnaissance on the
          competitors it will be jockeying with this fall, despite those competitors'
          best efforts to keep their strategies secret. The Valley has what it calls the
          "whisper circuit," which is not so much wild gossip as the ability to call in
          old favors and threaten to pull people's teeth. A lot of whisper-circuit
          surveillance leaks out the back door of companies through their
          engineers, who often refuse to lie on principle or are very bad at it when
          they try. 
          Through the whisper circuit the company learned that one potential
          competitor was trying to wiggle out of a partnership so that it could
          overhaul its product toward something like Epinions.com. The team
          learned that a top job applicant, on the verge of accepting its offer, had
          been grilled so hard by another venture capitalist that he cracked and
          spilled the Epinions.com idea. (The offer was retracted.) Another V.C.
          was trying to discredit Epinions.com by telling people he'd turned down
          its deal, which he'd never seen. 
          And it was on the whisper circuit that the Epinions.com team learned that
          Amazon.com had started flying writers and editors to Seattle and offering
          them positions as category editors to cover a wide range of products --
          food, video games and so on. The whispering was specific -- that
          Amazon.com was offering a $65,000 salary, a 10-percent signing bonus
          and options that could be worth $1 million in four years. (Amazon
          declines to confirm or deny those details.) The entrance of Amazon.com
          onto the scene seemed like bad news for Epinions.com. Everyone lost
          sleep that night. 
          But their exuberance returned with dawn. "Amazon is supersmart," said
          Naval, marching out of Benchmark Capital's Sand Hill Road offices with
          his teammates in tow. "But we're a start-up. We've got focus. Nobody
          will be able to move as fast as us. I pity the fools!" 
                 ther than that first night with Amazon, I haven't lost a single
                 hour's sleep over our competition," Nirav Tolia said four weeks
          ago, when he was only rationing himself four hours a night anyway. "All
          the sleep I've lost has been over our internal conflicts." 
          Indeed. By hiring so many bulldogs and execution machines who were all
          used to being No. 1, Tolia feared the competition between employees
          would tear the company apart. For the first month, without a product to
          obsess about, they focused on their responsibilities, and the closest proxy
          for their responsibilities was their title. That they had given up so much
          money to be here made them a little testy -- they wanted constant
          assurance that their career decision wasn't a mistake. 
          Everyone kept demanding an org chart, preferably with his or her name
          in a box near the top. In first-generation Web companies, the premise
          was that no task was beneath you: you did whatever it took to succeed.
          This wisdom seems not to have been passed down. "How do we go
          from a team of champions to a championship team?" Tolia kept asking. 
          Bill Gurley had turned Naval Ravikant on to complexity theory. "Truly
          alive systems exist only at what is called 'the edge of chaos,"' Ravikant
          said in one meeting. So though it was causing him to lose hair, he was
          running the company on the edge of chaos, rallying people to risk making
          mistakes. "I don't want to be a company that plays it safe." He gave his
          employees an org chart, and then another one every week. Their titles
          became vague, more fungible. 
          Going through the start-up experience usually bonds a team together.
          There are those occasional "Breakfast Club"-like days when workers'
          inner lives get revealed to each other. This bedrock of goodwill gets the
          team through hard times later. Going through it at second-generation
          speed only allows brief bonding moments. Mike Speiser covered Internet
          companies as an investment-banking research analyst, but he hadn't
          worked at one before Epinions.com. A few weeks ago he said: "You
          know what I miss? I miss those good old days, when we had the run of
          the place at August Capital, hanging out and brainstorming." Those
          halcyon days, six weeks earlier. 
          Nirav Tolia came up with what he thought would be a solution to distract
          the champions from their fiefdoms. At the all-hands meeting five weeks
          ago, Tolia announced that he would shave his head if the company met its
          offical launch date. This is a guy whose E-mail was
          "the-face@yahoo.com" for a good reason -- a hair is never out of place
          on his head. "When you're wondering why you're here at 2 in the
          morning, think about my cue ball," he said. 
          Everybody howled with laughter. Then Aleksander Totic went over to his
          computer and pulled up an ancient Web page, from way back in 1994.
          Digital photographs were posted from the period when the original
          Netscape engineers shipped Navigator 1.0. There at the top of the page
          was a picture of Lou Montulli -- who is even more of a sharp dresser
          than Tolia -- with his head completely shaved. Then everyone really
          laughed. 
          "If we're going to be a second-generation Web company, Nirav's going
          to have to come up with something better," Totic chuckled. 
                 atching an instant company get built has been slightly
                 disorienting. Silicon Valley is sustained by the myth that you can
          come here from anywhere with sheer smarts and a firm handshake and
          make good. Second-generation Internet companies seem to seriously tip
          the favor to those already here. Four weeks ago on the whisper circuit,
          Tolia learned that an entrepreneur from Arizona was in town to shop a
          business plan for a company, called Publicopinion.com, with some of the
          same basic concepts, like rating reviews. Tolia took the challenge
          seriously -- Publicopinion.com already had a prototype on line and
          needed financing to take the next step. But the truth is that if the guy from
          Arizona is only now trying to get an audience with venture capitalists, he
          probably doesn't have a chance to catch up. 
          After Ravikant left @Home, he would still see old colleagues at parties.
          The comment he heard from them time and time again was: "It's amazing
          you walked away from all that money. I wish I was brave enough to take
          the chance." 
          So why did they walk away from all that money? Take it as a given that
          they all believe in the commercial viability of the idea, but beyond that,
          their comments are all over the map. One guy talked blatantly about
          wanting "plane money," and how you weren't even a player in the Valley
          with less than $100 million. A few plead that they just want to live the
          start-up experience, and the money they've earned has bought them the
          unconditional freedom to pursue that dream. 
          Now they are at the takeoff point, and their first-generation experience
          can't help them. The next 12 weeks will be an even greater challenge: the
          goal now is to turn a brand-new site into a hive, one that has 80 percent
          of all E-commerce categories covered well in advance of the crucial
          Christmas buying season. They are blindly gambling that they have the
          right incentives and the right filtering mechanisms in place. Ready. Fire.
          Aim. 
          Table of Contents 
          July 11, 1999 
               Home | Site Index | Site Search | Forums | Archives | Marketplace 
          Quick News | Page One Plus | International | National/N.Y. | Business | Technology |
         Science | Sports | Weather | Editorial | Op-Ed | Arts | Automobiles | Books | Diversions |
                          Job Market | Real Estate | Travel 
                  Help/Feedback | Classifieds | Services | New York Today 
                     Copyright 1999 The New York Times Company