Global warming is fearmongering brainwashing FUD

[Brian Atkins]

The data has been crunched by a lot of people, and the conclusion is
quite simple: global warming, if it even exists, will not have any
possible effect on the technological path humanity has itself on. This'll
all be over by 2030 at the latest, 2050 if you go with a conservative
like Kurzweil.

You are thinking linearly. Think exponentially, because that is the curve
many technologies are on. And we ain't at the beginning of the curve :-)
The current rate of technological change we experience right now will seem
very quaint 5 and especially 10 years from now.

rbfar@ebuilt.com wrote:
> 
> Second that... I am all for collection of data and stochastic/statistical
> analysis...  And I think the majority would agree with me that, the majority
> of data, will show.... Well, I guess I'm by-passing the analysis and jumping
> right into the conclusion so I'll stop :-)
> 
> R
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Eugene Leitl" <Eugene.Leitl@lrz.uni-muenchen.de>
> To: "Brian Atkins" <brian@posthuman.com>
> Cc: "John Hall" <johnhall@evergo.net>; <rbfar@ebuilt.com>; <fork@xent.com>;
> <mattj@newsblip.com>
> Sent: Tuesday, July 17, 2001 1:07 PM
> Subject: Re: Global warming is fearmongering brainwashing FUD
> 
> > On Tue, 17 Jul 2001, Brian Atkins wrote:
> >
> > > As you can see global warming is just about the farthest thing down the
> > > list. And yet how much of our mental and physical resources is it
> > > sucking up? In comparison, how much money and thought is being expended
> >
> > Humans are thoroughly incapable of rational risk assessement and
> > management. Even if you know it, the only way to make sure is to sit down
> > with the data and a statistics package, and to crunch it.
> >
> > Anything else appears as wanton self gratification.
> >
> > -- Eugen* Leitl <a href="http://www.lrz.de/~ui22204/">leitl</a>
> > ______________________________________________________________
> > ICBMTO  : N48 10'07'' E011 33'53'' http://www.lrz.de/~ui22204
> > 57F9CFD3: ED90 0433 EB74 E4A9 537F CFF5 86E7 629B 57F9 CFD3
> >
> >
> >
> > http://xent.com/mailman/listinfo/fork

-- 
Brian Atkins
Director, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
http://www.singinst.org/