How Moore's law stabbed us in the back
John Hall
johnhall@evergo.net
Thu, 3 Jan 2002 16:37:34 -0800
>
> I am ;) Even if you buy the argument that people get more
> expensive,
It isn't an argument, it is an observation. An observation that applies
in India as well as the US. I'll admit it is counter-intuitive, but you
can't wave it away by saying "even if you buy ..."
> the number of tasks that require human input is
> being reduced over time.
Well, no.
There is no simple table of tasks.
Human desires are unlimited. Therefore, tasks are unlimited. By only
considering tasks that are _currently_ being preformed, you just
committed the fallacy we call "The Tyranny of the Status Quo".
To place it in a slightly different context, your failure here is the
same as people who call for greater efficiency to reduce resource use.
If you are _really_ concerned with total resource use, then increasing
efficiency has to be the worst thing you can do. Increasing the
efficient utilization of a resource makes it effectively cheaper, which
means more of it is used.
That, probably in a nutshell, is why the luddites have always been
wrong. Replacing humans with machines ultimately means you need even
more humans. (Note, you often need _different_ humans. There is a
human cost in that.)