Telephony market predictions from Clay Shirky

Eugen Leitl eugen@leitl.org
Sat, 18 Jan 2003 22:04:10 +0100 (CET)


On Fri, 17 Jan 2003, Mr. FoRK wrote:

> To understand what's going to happen to the telephone companies this year
> thanks to WiFi (otherwise known as 802.11b) and Voice over IP (VoIP) you
> only need to know one story: ZapMail.

Voip would be neat, if one wouldn't have to poke holes in NAT bricks, if
IPs were static (or at least the firewalls would automatically do a dyndns
thing with phone directories) and the DSL companies wouldn't buffer so
absurdly deeply so you get latencies in 10 s to min range. So you need a
NAT firewall with voip in it (which connects to the rest via WiFi and/or
Bluetooth), and ISPs which will honor QoS of a 1.5 kByte/s stream.

That's a lot of ifs.