Re: This Is The Way The World Ends (Scenario Planning)
Mon, 17 Mar 2003 17:44:45 -0800
On Monday, March 17, 2003, at 05:27 PM, James Rogers wrote:
> From various sources I've been triangulating I am getting the distinct
> impression that something interesting is being worked out behind the
> between the various parties in that region.
Which parties? Turks and Kurds, or the whole of the mideast?
> I don't really have a good idea
> of what is going on other than that there seems to be a lot of parties
> the table that you wouldn't normally expect to see together at the
What's getting them there? Are they sitting down out of fear that
they'll be served up after Iraq, or are they looking for a way out.
> I'm hopeful that a workable long-term solution will come out of this,
> I'm probably being optimistic.
I'd like to be optimistic as well, but this is a region where power has
been kept by either brute force, or a brutal refusal of modernity. I'm
wondering what's in it for the players. I'm worried about Turkey -- I
don't think the Civilian gov't is going to be permitted to continue,
and that we'll take the blame (though it will be entirely the doings of
the Turkish military).