[FoRK] Three Billion New [ANGRY] Capitalists, but no money for fighting bird flu without money from US & EU

Justin Mason jm
Tue Jul 5 11:07:10 PDT 2005


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Adam L Beberg writes:
> Joe Barrera wrote on 7/4/2005 10:20 PM:
> > <http://news.scotsman.com/health.cfm?ids7912005>
> > 
> > "Mr Domenech told the conference that Asia needs about
> > £57 million over the next two years to fund a viable programme
> > to fight bird flu, but so far only one-tenth of that amount
> > has been raised.
> > 
> > He said pledges from donors such as the European Union
> > and the United States were 'still not enough and still not
> > coming quick enough.'"
> 
> Sorry, all tapped out, they have all our money already.
> 
> Also from the article...
> 
> "urging mass poultry vaccinations to prevent a crisis"
> 
> BZZZZZZZ. This only guarantees a strain that we have a vaccine against 
> will NOT be the one that spreads.
> 
> The best plan has always been and will always be, to prepare several 
> vaccines as early as possible but only let them out for use of any kind 
> until as LATE as possible along with serious quarantine and containment 
> procedures. You know, the plan that can never possibly happen thanks to 
> politics and human stupidity. Any action now is only helping the virus.

"as late as possible", e.g. once it can infect human-to-human and hits the
US, will likely be too late.   The correct timing is to vaccinate or kill
poultry widely, when an outbreak occurs -- when it's still a localised
outbreak, and before things get seriously exponential.  This is what's
being recommended by the WHO et al right now.

You're right though that vaccinating *before* an outbreak will just
provide evolutionary pressure on the virus to develop resistance.  Sadly,
economic pressure from the farmers makes this likely, as it has done with
the misuse of the human anti-viral drug amantadine, noted in the article
above. :(

- --j.
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