[FoRK] Euro Bonds etc.

Wilkin, Kurt Kurt.Wilkin at fnzc.co.nz
Wed Jan 18 18:41:52 PST 2006

Eugen Leitl wrote:
> If the U.S. or Japan
> goes, the whole house of cards will come crashing down. Even those,
> who're not having problems -- these would be suddenly limited to
> their domestic markets. 

Not so sure about Japan - their current good fortune is
hurting (well, -ish) quite a few places as they go on bond 
buying sprees every time interest rates rise. Naively,
ISTM that'd relieve some pressure. 

But still not sure on the 'Cards, House Of' theory 
(the "new Economy" is teh w1n!!!) we're on the back of 
several things which would've been catastrophic 20 or 
so years ago. 
No particular faith in the system, other than its proved 
to be more fault-tolerant than it ever gets credit for being. 

> Real estate will become pretty much devalued (though no housing
> bubble here, thanks god). Essentials (energy, food) prices are
> going to soar.

Again rather naive, but ISTM housing devaluation would suit 
a lot of people who at the moment can't afford to buy within 
their community (San Franciscobians would win big). 

The other big deal rarely mentioned is that baby-boomers 
hitting retirement age with a lifetime worth of savings 
are doing the same things to housing markets as they've 
done to every other market they've been interested in.
Wasn't it 10 or 15 years ago (and midlife crisis time:)
that Harley Davidson roared back into life? 
> If I was USian, and had funds to spare, instead of gold I'd probably
> invest in a hut in a remote location, with supplies, oil/gas
> and gun/ammo
> cache.

Naw, head for rural centres. If its as bad as all that wages
will be cheaper than oil, and there'll be an assload of manual
labour needed any food growing operation. The perks'll be valuable, 
if you're smart enough you'd get to manage, you'll be learning 
how to grow your own and employee shrinkage impossible to trace:)
Plus they'll have all the money (everyone'll still want food)
so state government will have a strong position in national govt 
and their police better equipped than you can be on your own.

On the other hand, if its triffids...

> The spanish flu barely
> made a dent in the population histogram. The 1/2 or 2/3rd killers are
> really rare.

Hmmm. <Wanders off to ask google what *has*>

Cheers, Kurt.

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