[FoRK] Annihilation from within...
Luis Villa <
luis at tieguy.org
> on >
Wed Dec 6 14:11:05 PST 2006
On 12/6/06, Jeff Bone <jbone at place.org> wrote:
> On Dec 6, 2006, at 12:31 PM, Luis Villa wrote:
> > On 12/6/06, Eugen Leitl <eugen at leitl.org> wrote:
> >> On Tue, Dec 05, 2006 at 09:46:06PM -0600, Jeff Bone wrote:
> >> > While I would very much like the flying car, my money is on the
> >> brain-
> >> > computer interface.
> >> Personal helicopters exist, whereas BCIs exist only as
> >> crude prototypes for severely disabled.
> >> A real BCI will be invasive, and require medical nanotechnology.
> >> As such personal flying vehicles, in today's 100 k$ range are
> >> distinctly earlier.
> > More relevantly to the point I was trying to make with the picture,
> > despite people having talked about flying cars as being right around
> > the corner for decades*, it isn't happening any time soon.
> Means absolutely nothing.
> Law of accelerating returns.
> All perceptions of expected rates of change based on past experience
> are likely to be increasingly unreliable over the next few years.
I am most certain the authors of the Jetsons said the same thing. I
think you really just don't understand the complexity of the brain and
the non-parallelizable nature of much hard science research.
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