[FoRK] PDAs (was: Sony Reader for sale, and thoughts on e-books)
Ian Andrew Bell
<hello at ianbell.com> on
Fri Aug 31 12:34:56 PDT 2007
On 31-Aug-07, at 11:54 AM, Luis Villa wrote:
>>> Please forgive my cluelessness here, but *why*? Would you try to
>>> sledgehammers to soccer-moms? Even with careful UI engineering and
>>> collaborative stakeholder-focused task-oriented blahblah design?
>> Because once we do, technology businesses won't generally grow within
>> bubbles and endure massive slumps. They'll be endurables.
> Niches can be perfectly enduring. You're confusing 'addresses a niche'
> (which can be enduring and quite profitable) with 'doesn't really
> address anything' (which I agree usually fails, and which I agree
> silivalley is prone to at times.)
Well, not exactly. I'm suggesting that if the only 'niche' it
addresses is the great Silly Valley circle-jerk, then there will be
no enduring breakthrough revenue opportunity. Silicon Valley as a
niche is prone to bulls and bears, but more importantly a culture of
Failure is virtually assured trying to work this low point on the
long tail. That is, unless one defines success as making a bunch of
money via ponzi schema a la Jeff Hawkins / Palm / Handspring. For
the record: I don't.
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