[FoRK] Carrying Capacity Tangent
ejw at cs.ucsc.edu
Mon Nov 2 05:50:22 PST 2009
Or, put another way, if we can somehow make it through the 21st century,
our civilization will have many fewer population stresses.
It will also be interesting to see whether capitalist economics has an
underlying dependency on increasing population.
Michael Cummins wrote:
> I saw this Economist.com link on InstaPundit today, it was tangentially
> related to the current discussion on carrying capacity, so I thought I'd
> throw it in here:
> "As industrialisation swept through what is now the developed world,
> fertility fell sharply, first in France, then in Britain, then throughout
> Europe and America. When people got richer, families got smaller; and as
> families got smaller, people got richer.
> Now, something similar is happening in developing countries. Fertility is
> falling and families are shrinking in places- such as Brazil, Indonesia, and
> even parts of India-that people think of as teeming with children. As our
> briefing shows, the fertility rate of half the world is now 2.1 or less-the
> magic number that is consistent with a stable population and is usually
> called "the replacement rate of fertility". Sometime between 2020 and 2050
> the world's fertility rate will fall below the global replacement rate."
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