[FoRK] Human behavior is 93% predictable

Ken Ganshirt @ Yahoo ken_ganshirt at yahoo.ca
Fri Mar 5 15:39:17 PST 2010


--- On Thu, 3/4/10, J. Andrew Rogers <andrew at ceruleansystems.com> wrote:
> 
> On Mar 4, 2010, at 7:28 PM, Ken Ganshirt @ Yahoo wrote:
> > 
> > Okay, stay with me here. You said:
> > 
> > "Computers will see all manner of exploitable pattern
> > that humans do not and those abstract patterns are very
> > difficult for humans to reason about in the context of the
> > overall model. "
> > 
> > If the humans managing the computers can't see or
> > reason about those abstract patterns how can they figure out
> > how to exploit them? 
> 
> 
> Same kind of story. We know the patterns exist in the
> abstract and their theoretical relation to one another. We
> can't discern them ourselves (a computer has to tell us they
> exist) nor can we properly grok the meaning of any
> particular pattern or apply it. However, we can easily
> conceptualize a desired result and instruct the computer to
> apply theory to achieve that result using whatever patterns
> it can discern, or alternatively tell us that such a result
> is not feasible.
> 
> There's no magic to it. A lot of computerized systems work
> this way.
> 

Okay, thanks for connecting the dots. I already knew that picture. As you say, almost mundane. I thought you were leading to something else, the way it was worded.

       ...ken...


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