[FoRK] short-term predictions: 2014, 2017, 2022

Damien Morton dmorton at bitfurnace.com
Thu Jun 14 01:31:17 PDT 2012

On Thu, Jun 14, 2012 at 2:30 AM, Eugen Leitl <eugen at leitl.org> wrote:

> On Wed, Jun 13, 2012 at 04:40:00PM -0400, Damien Morton wrote:
> > I agree, the promise of 3d printing is, umm, overpromised.
> >
> > How do you 3d print a microwave oven? How do you 3d print an electric
> > motor? How do you 3d print a bearing assembly?
> One layer at a time ;)
> Don't forget that rapid prototyping today is only the camel's
> nose first appearing in the tent. Eventually, the whole
> molecular manufacturing animal is to follow.

Hmm, maybe in scifi novels. Next 20 years, rapid prototyping will be
mechanistic - a 3d counterpart to laser and inkjet printing. We dont have
2d molecular assemblers today, so its pie in the sky to imagine them for

> > I see 3d printing as a great counterpart to the incredible custom
> > manufacturing facilities of misumi.com , which has those robots Kragen
> > speaks about, and will deliver specialised materials and assemblies.
> What the world needs is a good desktop manufacturing system which
> can make about everything. Copies of itself included. Using
> abundant and inexpensive raw materials.

It would be good if you could put your garbage in MrFusion, add a little
toilet water, and out pops a diamond, but.... its the stuff of scifi.

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