[FoRK] Dunning-Kruger effect discriminatory environs

Stephen Williams sdw at lig.net
Thu Feb 27 12:30:00 PST 2014

Triggered thinking of this by the following comment:
> Fred G. Vader 
> <http://visualstudiomagazine.com/articles/2013/08/08/microsofts-mobile-strategy.aspx#> 
> . 7 months ago 
> <http://visualstudiomagazine.com/articles/2013/08/08/microsofts-mobile-strategy.aspx#comment-999316131> 
> So I just read the re-org memo that is linked to in the article and I 
> am just dumbfounded. It has taken all of the idiotic mistakes 
> mentioned in the above article and the numerous ones not mentioned 
> (i.e. zune, kin 1 and 2, WP7/8's abysmal 3% market share, stupid metro 
> design which is not catching on and all other idiotic MS undertakings 
> that I can't think of right now) - it has taken all of this for 
> Ballmer and company to stop and realize that - "hey do you think the 
> company should be working toward one overall strategy in a unified 
> effort?"
> Really guys - really??? How in the world was this strategy not enacted 
> back in 2007 when the iPhone debuted and mobile suddenly begin to 
> skyrocket. Why has it taken so many failures and a nearly billion 
> dollar write-off for MS execs to realize the most simplest foundation 
> principle of corporate strategies? This is just unbelievable!
> I've always thought that there are more high level execs suffering 
> from the Dunning-Kruger effect than we'll ever truly realize! 
> Unfortunately in the corporate and political world we tend to reward 
> and promote those who display assertiveness and boldness and not the 
> competent.
> "The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the 
> stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt." - 
> Bertrand Russell

In what mediums, venues, groups, and activities would individuals be 
most or least likely to overcome the Dunning-Kruger effect?

In the past, I think FoRK has been good for this.  I suspect Google and 
Apple are high fidelity with clear feedback.

It seems likely that banking and finance are full of the opposite 
dynamic.  It is almost certainly a prime factor in good governments vs. 
bad.  Some friends who are ex-Microsoft indicate a severe problem there, 
at least at certain levels.


Stephen D. Williams sdw at lig.net stephendwilliams at gmail.com
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