Re: Prelude to the Singularity

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From: Jeff Bone (
Date: Fri Jul 28 2000 - 08:48:00 PDT

Tom Whore wrote:

> On Thu, 27 Jul 2000, Jeff Bone wrote:
> --]
> --]And I'll assert that you're wrong in your conclusions. While all your
> --]facts are correct, ask yourself this question: how quickly after
> --]invention did each of those innovations --- telegraph, railroad,
> --]"industrialization" begin having a real, tangible impact on as large a
> --]fraction of the world population? Considering the US alone, the
> --]Internet has gone from little-known academic workhorse to over 50%
> --]household penetration in the US in a *decade.*
> Well truth be told the ineternet was created in the late 60s and did not
> hit the Headline MassGrassRoots statuts till 1994-95

Clearly, but in the context of its user growth the graph is for all intents
and purposes essentially flat by comparison until you hit the mid-90s. We're
talking about commercialization more than invention, really, and the same is
true for locomotives. Possibly not for telegraphs, though I'd need to dig on
that. Also, the notion of what was and was not "the Net" was somewhat fuzzier
early on; I ran a UUCP node back in 1987 that I would've sworn was "on the
Net" even though a TCP/IP packet never hit that box.


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